Relatório Vulnerabilidade

Mapas de Contexto

Informações Gerais

	Município	Estado	Área	Área urbana
	Pelotas	RS	1608.78 km²	81 km²

Tabela Desastres

Selecione o tipo de desastres:

data	DH_MORTOS	DH_FERIDOS	DH_total_danos_humanos	DM_total_danos_materiais	descricao_tipologia
2023-09-23	0	0	327778	52922013,04	Chuvas Intensas
2016-05-06	0	0	22000	22545699,42	Chuvas Intensas
2015-10-29	0	0	13117	3903534,00	Chuvas Intensas
2010-12-10	0	0	0	0,00	Enxurradas
2010-01-18	0	0	0	0,00	Enxurradas
2009-01-29	2	256	59755	0,00	Inundações
1995-09-04	0	0	0	0,00	Enxurradas

Resumo TRs estações selecionadas

Resumo das estações com a média do TR para os desastres com danos humanos

Código	TR Empirico	TR gumbel_r	TR lognorm
88575000	6.77	6.455	7.205
88750000	2.2325	2.2875	2.2925
88850000	1.895	2.13	2.0375

Estações à Montante

Código	cobacia	Rio	Área mont. (km²)	Início	Fim	Período (anos)	Operando	Selecionada	% Falhas
88850000	7941251	ARROIO PELOTAS	370.17	1964/08	2023/08	54	sim	X	2.40%
88750000	794145	ARROIO FRAGATA	138.45	1964/10	2024/01	54	sim	X	2.53%
88575000	794279	ARROIO BASÍLIO	1057.3	1976/08	2024/01	42	sim	X	7.54%

Estações à Jusante

Código	cobacia	Rio	Área mont. (km²)	Início	Fim	Período (anos)	Operando	Selecionada	% Falhas
88850000	7941251	ARROIO PELOTAS	370.17	1964/08	2023/08	54	sim	X	2.40%
88750000	794145	ARROIO FRAGATA	138.45	1964/10	2024/01	54	sim	X	2.53%

Análise estação: 88850000

Tabela Resumo - Desastres vs Hidrologia

Data Evento	Óbitos	Feridos	Danos Humanos	Danos Materiais	Tipologia	Ano Hidro	Vazao	Data Máxima	TR Empirico	TR lognorm	TR gumbel_r
2023-09-23	0	0	327778	52922013,04	Chuvas Intensas	2023/2024	250.4	2023-07-13	2.26	2.65	2.77
2016-05-06	0	0	22000	22545699,42	Chuvas Intensas	2016/2017	207.5	2016-04-25	1.79	1.81	1.89
2015-10-29	0	0	13117	3903534,00	Chuvas Intensas	2015/2016	222.7	2015-10-15	1.97	2.05	2.15
2010-12-10	0	0	0	0,00	Enxurradas	2010/2011	95.5	2010-07-19	1.05	1.06	1.06
2010-01-18	0	0	0	0,00	Enxurradas	2010/2011	95.5	2010-07-19	1.05	1.06	1.06
2009-01-29	2	256	59755	0,00	Inundações	2009/2010	194.2	2009-01-28	1.56	1.64	1.71
1995-09-04	0	0	0	0,00	Enxurradas	1995/1996	314.1	1995-07-28	7.62	5.49	5.32

Vazões Máximas e Tempos de Retorno

Ano Hidro	Vazao	Data	TR Empirico	TR lognorm	TR gumbel_r
1983/1984	489.5	1983-02-15	61.0	79.04	40.02
2001/2002	482.0	2001-09-02	30.5	69.57	36.62
1984/1985	412.1	1984-09-27	20.33	22.22	16.09
1998/1999	407.7	1998-08-25	15.25	20.75	15.29
1980/1981	353.2	1980-03-28	12.2	9.26	8.19
1997/1998	345.8	1997-07-16	10.17	8.36	7.54
1987/1988	335.3	1987-05-21	8.71	7.24	6.7
1995/1996	314.1	1995-07-28	7.62	5.49	5.32
1977/1978	312.2	1977-10-15	6.78	5.36	5.21
1986/1987	309.4	1986-04-13	6.1	5.17	5.05
1992/1993	309.4	1992-04-13	5.55	5.17	5.05
1975/1976	307.8	1975-11-16	5.08	5.07	4.97
1966/1967	304.3	1966-07-22	4.69	4.85	4.78
1973/1974	304.3	1973-02-08	4.36	4.85	4.78
2007/2008	300.8	2007-06-15	4.07	4.65	4.61
2002/2003	299.0	2002-04-24	3.81	4.55	4.52
1974/1975	292.1	1974-07-18	3.59	4.19	4.21
2004/2005	285.2	2004-05-07	3.39	3.86	3.91
1991/1992	282.7	1991-10-16	3.21	3.75	3.81
2017/2018	275.1	2017-10-13	3.05	3.45	3.53
1990/1991	274.6	1990-02-13	2.9	3.43	3.51
1979/1980	272.5	1979-09-28	2.77	3.35	3.44
2000/2001	265.9	2000-05-02	2.65	3.12	3.22
1964/1965	264.2	1964-10-09	2.54	3.06	3.16
2019/2020	256.8	2019-09-11	2.44	2.83	2.94
1976/1977	253.6	1976-08-04	2.35	2.74	2.85
2023/2024	250.4	2023-07-13	2.26	2.65	2.77
1978/1979	242.3	1978-07-27	2.18	2.45	2.56
1993/1994	234.1	1993-11-17	2.1	2.27	2.38
1985/1986	228.1	1985-07-05	2.03	2.15	2.25
2015/2016	222.7	2015-10-15	1.97	2.05	2.15
1972/1973	215.8	1972-07-07	1.91	1.93	2.03
1965/1966	211.2	1965-09-10	1.85	1.86	1.95
2016/2017	207.5	2016-04-25	1.79	1.81	1.89
2018/2019	206.0	2018-09-02	1.74	1.79	1.87
2013/2014	204.5	2013-10-26	1.69	1.77	1.85
2014/2015	203.7	2014-06-29	1.65	1.76	1.84
1981/1982	196.4	1981-09-13	1.61	1.66	1.74
2009/2010	194.2	2009-01-28	1.56	1.64	1.71
1999/2000	179.1	1999-09-08	1.52	1.48	1.53
2012/2013	173.5	2012-09-18	1.49	1.43	1.48
1967/1968	169.4	1967-10-18	1.45	1.4	1.44
1994/1995	168.2	1994-07-31	1.42	1.39	1.43
1982/1983	157.9	1982-08-08	1.39	1.32	1.34
2021/2022	146.7	2021-09-08	1.36	1.25	1.27
2022/2023	143.4	2022-08-04	1.33	1.23	1.25
1970/1971	137.7	1970-06-21	1.3	1.2	1.21
1969/1970	132.1	1969-07-09	1.27	1.18	1.18
1971/1972	127.8	1971-06-27	1.24	1.16	1.16
1988/1989	126.4	1988-09-24	1.22	1.15	1.16
1996/1997	124.1	1996-02-25	1.2	1.14	1.15
2003/2004	115.8	2003-06-11	1.17	1.12	1.12
1989/1990	113.2	1989-01-26	1.15	1.11	1.11
2008/2009	112.3	2008-09-07	1.13	1.11	1.1
2005/2006	111.1	2005-09-11	1.11	1.1	1.1
2020/2021	105.4	2020-06-12	1.09	1.09	1.08
2006/2007	96.5	2006-09-15	1.07	1.07	1.06
2010/2011	95.5	2010-07-19	1.05	1.06	1.06
2011/2012	85.5	2011-08-02	1.03	1.05	1.04
1968/1969	44.6	1968-03-27	1.02	1.01	1.0

Distribuições ajustadas

Teste de Kolmogorov-Smirnov

Tamanho da amostra (N): 60

Valor crítico (Dc): 0.1756

Lognorm: Estatística (D) = 0.0731

Gumbel_r: Estatística (D) = 0.0887

Análise estação: 88750000

Tabela Resumo - Desastres vs Hidrologia

Data Evento	Óbitos	Feridos	Danos Humanos	Danos Materiais	Tipologia	Ano Hidro	Vazao	Data Máxima	TR Empirico	TR lognorm	TR gumbel_r
2023-09-23	0	0	327778	52922013,04	Chuvas Intensas	2023/2024	57.8	2023-07-13	1.88	1.88	1.86
2016-05-06	0	0	22000	22545699,42	Chuvas Intensas	2016/2017	49.7	2016-04-24	1.63	1.59	1.56
2015-10-29	0	0	13117	3903534,00	Chuvas Intensas	2015/2016	56.4	2015-09-23	1.77	1.82	1.8
2010-12-10	0	0	0	0,00	Enxurradas	2010/2011	35.1	2010-05-19	1.22	1.24	1.23
2010-01-18	0	0	0	0,00	Enxurradas	2010/2011	35.1	2010-05-19	1.22	1.24	1.23
2009-01-29	2	256	59755	0,00	Inundações	2009/2010	86.3	2009-01-29	3.65	3.88	3.93
1995-09-04	0	0	0	0,00	Enxurradas	1995/1996	140.9	1995-07-28	15.5	20.14	22.32

Vazões Máximas e Tempos de Retorno

Ano Hidro	Vazao	Data	TR Empirico	TR lognorm	TR gumbel_r
1983/1984	177.0	1983-02-15	62.0	62.35	74.95
1984/1985	171.0	1984-09-27	31.0	51.69	61.21
1977/1978	143.6	1977-07-25	20.67	21.91	24.41
1995/1996	140.9	1995-07-28	15.5	20.14	22.32
1998/1999	138.8	1998-08-25	12.4	18.86	20.81
1979/1980	123.3	1979-09-29	10.33	11.65	12.5
1976/1977	121.3	1976-05-29	8.86	10.95	11.71
1974/1975	114.9	1974-07-18	7.75	9.0	9.52
1990/1991	114.2	1990-02-14	6.89	8.81	9.31
2004/2005	110.4	2004-05-07	6.2	7.85	8.24
1980/1981	110.4	1980-04-19	5.64	7.85	8.24
1987/1988	97.5	1987-05-21	5.17	5.35	5.5
1978/1979	93.9	1978-07-27	4.77	4.82	4.93
2000/2001	90.3	2000-07-02	4.43	4.35	4.42
1973/1974	89.2	1973-07-16	4.13	4.21	4.28
2002/2003	88.6	2002-08-09	3.88	4.14	4.21
2009/2010	86.3	2009-01-29	3.65	3.88	3.93
2019/2020	75.6	2019-10-30	3.44	2.9	2.9
1991/1992	74.5	1991-07-23	3.26	2.82	2.82
1971/1972	74.0	1971-06-27	3.1	2.78	2.78
1985/1986	72.4	1985-08-09	2.95	2.67	2.66
2001/2002	71.3	2001-04-09	2.82	2.6	2.59
1992/1993	70.8	1992-04-13	2.7	2.56	2.55
1982/1983	70.8	1982-09-25	2.58	2.56	2.55
1986/1987	69.2	1986-04-13	2.48	2.46	2.45
1997/1998	68.6	1997-07-16	2.38	2.42	2.41
1972/1973	65.5	1972-07-07	2.3	2.25	2.23
1993/1994	64.5	1993-07-06	2.21	2.19	2.17
1965/1966	62.4	1965-09-10	2.14	2.09	2.07
1967/1968	62.4	1967-10-18	2.07	2.09	2.07
1966/1967	62.4	1966-06-27	2.0	2.09	2.07
2018/2019	58.4	2018-09-02	1.94	1.9	1.88
2023/2024	57.8	2023-07-13	1.88	1.88	1.86
1981/1982	56.9	1981-09-13	1.82	1.84	1.82
2015/2016	56.4	2015-09-23	1.77	1.82	1.8
2008/2009	54.5	2008-09-07	1.72	1.75	1.73
2022/2023	50.0	2022-08-04	1.68	1.6	1.57
2016/2017	49.7	2016-04-24	1.63	1.59	1.56
1970/1971	48.8	1970-08-06	1.59	1.56	1.54
2005/2006	47.8	2005-09-11	1.55	1.53	1.51
2003/2004	47.2	2003-06-11	1.51	1.51	1.49
2013/2014	46.2	2013-10-26	1.48	1.48	1.46
2017/2018	45.6	2017-10-13	1.44	1.47	1.45
1999/2000	45.0	1999-04-03	1.41	1.45	1.43
2006/2007	43.6	2006-08-12	1.38	1.42	1.4
2021/2022	38.9	2021-08-25	1.35	1.31	1.3
2014/2015	36.8	2014-10-16	1.32	1.27	1.26
1975/1976	36.8	1975-09-30	1.29	1.27	1.26
1994/1995	36.8	1994-07-31	1.27	1.27	1.26
1969/1970	35.6	1969-07-09	1.24	1.25	1.24
2010/2011	35.1	2010-05-19	1.22	1.24	1.23
2012/2013	34.0	2012-09-18	1.19	1.22	1.21
2007/2008	28.4	2007-05-05	1.17	1.14	1.14
1988/1989	26.7	1988-09-27	1.15	1.12	1.12
1989/1990	25.2	1989-01-26	1.13	1.11	1.11
2020/2021	25.2	2020-06-12	1.11	1.11	1.11
1996/1997	24.7	1996-02-25	1.09	1.1	1.1
1968/1969	19.6	1968-03-27	1.07	1.06	1.06
2011/2012	17.4	2011-06-19	1.05	1.05	1.05
1964/1965	9.9	1964-10-21	1.03	1.02	1.02
2024/2025	5.6	2024-01-17	1.02	1.01	1.01

Distribuições ajustadas

Teste de Kolmogorov-Smirnov

Tamanho da amostra (N): 61

Valor crítico (Dc): 0.1741

Lognorm: Estatística (D) = 0.066

Gumbel_r: Estatística (D) = 0.0659

Análise estação: 88575000

Tabela Resumo - Desastres vs Hidrologia

Data Evento	Óbitos	Feridos	Danos Humanos	Danos Materiais	Tipologia	Ano Hidro	Vazao	Data Máxima	TR Empirico	TR lognorm	TR gumbel_r
2023-09-23	0	0	327778	52922013,04	Chuvas Intensas	2023/2024	599.5	2023-07-13	5.0	5.69	5.46
2016-05-06	0	0	22000	22545699,42	Chuvas Intensas	2016/2017	631.5	2016-04-24	6.25	6.94	6.43
2015-10-29	0	0	13117	3903534,00	Chuvas Intensas	2015/2016	509.7	2015-09-24	3.33	3.42	3.5
2010-12-10	0	0	0	0,00	Enxurradas	2010/2011	530.2	2010-07-25	3.57	3.81	3.86
2010-01-18	0	0	0	0,00	Enxurradas	2010/2011	530.2	2010-07-25	3.57	3.81	3.86
2009-01-29	2	256	59755	0,00	Inundações	2009/2010	722.7	2009-11-18	12.5	12.77	10.43
1995-09-04	0	0	0	0,00	Enxurradas	1995/1996	557.8	1995-07-03	3.85	4.45	4.42

Vazões Máximas e Tempos de Retorno

Ano Hidro	Vazao	Data	TR Empirico	TR lognorm	TR gumbel_r
1990/1991	944.9	1990-03-12	50.0	69.16	35.38
1983/1984	890.8	1983-02-15	25.0	44.84	26.18
1979/1980	746.4	1979-09-29	16.67	15.1	11.85
2009/2010	722.7	2009-11-18	12.5	12.77	10.43
1984/1985	699.5	1984-05-28	10.0	10.87	9.21
2002/2003	697.8	2002-06-03	8.33	10.75	9.12
1980/1981	643.9	1980-04-19	7.14	7.52	6.86
2016/2017	631.5	2016-04-24	6.25	6.94	6.43
1978/1979	607.8	1978-07-27	5.56	5.99	5.69
2023/2024	599.5	2023-07-13	5.0	5.69	5.46
2007/2008	572.1	2007-05-05	4.55	4.83	4.75
1994/1995	563.9	1994-06-18	4.17	4.61	4.56
1995/1996	557.8	1995-07-03	3.85	4.45	4.42
2010/2011	530.2	2010-07-25	3.57	3.81	3.86
2015/2016	509.7	2015-09-24	3.33	3.42	3.5
1993/1994	500.8	1993-05-11	3.12	3.26	3.36
2001/2002	487.5	2001-07-11	2.94	3.05	3.15
1977/1978	481.8	1977-07-27	2.78	2.96	3.07
1991/1992	454.8	1991-10-16	2.63	2.6	2.72
1998/1999	447.9	1998-02-04	2.5	2.52	2.63
2017/2018	440.0	2017-05-13	2.38	2.43	2.54
2000/2001	422.0	2000-07-02	2.27	2.24	2.35
2018/2019	412.5	2018-09-30	2.17	2.15	2.26
2013/2014	411.0	2013-09-15	2.08	2.14	2.25
2014/2015	409.6	2014-10-16	2.0	2.13	2.24
1986/1987	402.0	1986-04-13	1.92	2.06	2.17
1987/1988	387.9	1987-05-21	1.85	1.95	2.05
2019/2020	379.7	2019-10-30	1.79	1.89	1.98
2022/2023	354.9	2022-08-04	1.72	1.72	1.8
2003/2004	343.4	2003-04-27	1.67	1.66	1.73
1996/1997	332.4	1996-04-05	1.61	1.6	1.66
1982/1983	332.4	1982-10-22	1.56	1.6	1.66
1997/1998	300.0	1997-12-22	1.52	1.45	1.5
2005/2006	291.6	2005-09-10	1.47	1.41	1.46
1976/1977	277.5	1976-08-02	1.43	1.36	1.4
1992/1993	271.8	1992-04-12	1.39	1.34	1.38
1981/1982	260.6	1981-06-02	1.35	1.31	1.34
1999/2000	229.8	1999-06-28	1.32	1.22	1.24
1985/1986	226.2	1985-08-08	1.28	1.22	1.23
2011/2012	216.8	2011-08-02	1.25	1.19	1.21
2008/2009	215.5	2008-09-07	1.22	1.19	1.2
2021/2022	206.4	2021-09-14	1.19	1.17	1.18
2004/2005	200.3	2004-11-10	1.16	1.16	1.17
2012/2013	174.6	2012-10-10	1.14	1.12	1.12
1988/1989	159.0	1988-01-21	1.11	1.1	1.09
2020/2021	147.5	2020-06-25	1.09	1.08	1.08
2006/2007	122.6	2006-11-06	1.06	1.06	1.05
1989/1990	98.1	1989-09-11	1.04	1.04	1.03
2024/2025	18.7	2024-01-17	1.02	1.01	1.0

Distribuições ajustadas

Teste de Kolmogorov-Smirnov

Tamanho da amostra (N): 49

Valor crítico (Dc): 0.1943

Lognorm: Estatística (D) = 0.0616

Gumbel_r: Estatística (D) = 0.0691

Relatório Hidrológico - Pelotas / RS